Revisiting Future Path

021 If you don't want to listen, I will shut up

Don't despise Cavalry's poor vision.

This is not a question of personal vision, but the limitations of the times.

There are many similar incidents. For example, Wei Dongsheng was casual last night and bored browsing the Tianya Forum, and he found two speechless hot posts.

In the first hot post, the original poster complained that the source code of the legend was leaked, saying that the legend has basically been destroyed and will not survive June 2003. The followers basically agree with this view. It can be seen that Cavalry is by no means the only one who sees the legend of the decline and the grandeur of the decline.

The second hot post is about political economy. The poster analyzed in detail the economic development trends of China and Japan in recent years, saying that Japan’s chain growth rate has been negative since June 2001 until now, and the economy lacks vitality. This judges China’s national production. The total value, namely GDP, is very likely to surpass Japan in 2020. However, the followers almost all looked at the future of China's declining economy, and ruthlessly mocked the poster's arrogance like the Manchu bureaucrats, saying that China's GDP has no hope of matching Japan by 2050, because Japan will also make progress. The hostess was scolded so terribly that Wei Dongsheng, a spectator, felt distressed and couldn't help but share some firepower for him.

One quick step is a genius, two quick steps are a lunatic.

Facts have proved that looking forward to the task of the future, the eyes of the masses can never be discerning every time.

Looking at the real future, China's GDP in 2010 surpassed that of Japan, and in 2014 it reached twice that of Japan. Of course, there is no need to criticize the people collectively for looking down on China. After all, China's GDP in 2001 was still less than one-third of Japan's. Who could have expected that one-third to two-fold was only 13 years apart?

Modern history novels dare to play in this way, and it is certainly unreasonable to be scolded by readers.

The real world is the most exaggerated.

The angle of view is reduced to the legendary online game. Who can expect that it will survive the three major mountains of flooding plug-ins, endless private servers, and copyright crisis, and still survive until 2005? Specific to the legendary private server industry, its vitality is even more terrifying, and it still has its place in 2016.

Had it not returned with 30 years of memory, Wei Dongsheng could not believe that the legendary private service industry could survive until 2016, nor could China's GDP surpass Japan in 2010.

Now that you have relevant memories, you can't live up to them.

In previous lives, book friends discussed whether the reborn person would surely reach the pinnacle of life. Opponents often cite the two brothers Chen Tianqiao and Chen Danian. The Chen brothers have a very vicious vision. They often saw the future trend a few years ago, and surprisingly chose the right direction for every investment in the early days. But as a result, the Chen brothers chose the right direction but did not get the fruits of victory. They often became others' wedding dresses. Free game strategy, literary industry, Shanda Box, Investment Cool Six, Shanda Innovation Institute, etc., each project is the most correct historical trend, but the Chen brothers always can't wait to bear fruit.

Wei Dongsheng must draw a lesson from him and must not let down his thirty years of memory.

Wei Dongsheng waited for Cavalry to read the comments made by Cavalry, and then said leisurely: "You look down on Legend and online games even lower. In my eyes, the annual output value of the industry is at least 200 million yuan."

Cough cough cough, Cavalry almost didn't choke to death.

Cavalry replied embarrassingly: "Senior Iteam, are you sure it is 200 million yuan instead of 20,000 yuan?"

Wei Dongsheng: "Confirm and affirm."

Cavalry became more speechless.

Cavalry's reaction is in Wei Dong's business data. This is also a limitation of the times, not Cavalry's incompetence.

Looking at the output value of China's online game market, it was about 38 million yuan in 2000 and about 500 million yuan in 2001. Look, the year before 2000, the total sales of the national online game market was only 38 million, which was pitiful to the extreme, not as good as the monthly flow of a mobile game in the next generation. In 2001, the "year of online games", the online game market had just exploded to between four and five billion yuan. Although the online game of Legend has played a leading role in it, can it be compared with the entire online game market if it is purely a private server?

It is strange that Cavalry has such confidence now.

Therefore, Wei Dongsheng did not focus on the shabby absolute value, but talked about development trends and growth expectations: "I am very sure of my vision. From 38 million in 2000 to 450 million in 2001, this is a terrifying 1,000% growth. The development potential of the online game industry must not be underestimated. The statistics for 2002 have not yet come out, but it is an indisputable fact that the accumulation in the first nine months exceeded the output value of the entire year in 2001. Rough forecast, the output value of the online game market in 2002 It should be able to reach between nine to one billion yuan, of which the legendary operator Shanda Networks should have a huge operating income of three to four billion yuan, and it steadily occupies half of the country."

Cavalry didn't believe Wei Dongsheng's description, and tactfully refused to say: "I need money urgently to take this business. I have enough money to save life, and I am going to wash my hands and stop doing it."

Wei Dongsheng was not stubborn and reluctant, and asked in his tone: "If there is no financial difficulty, what do you want to do?"

Cavalry: "I want to be a pure cyber security technician."

Wei Dongsheng understands that the so-called pureness actually means being a detached white hat without involving the black industry chain. The status of white hats in the Internet arena is very special, as can be seen in the Yuan Wei incident in 2016. Jiayuan violated the industry's unspoken rules to report to the police and arrested Yuan Wei, which immediately caused a chain reaction on the Internet. After half a year of upgrading the dark cloud platform, there was no result.

For example, Cavalry’s black hat is good, whitewashing oneself, going ashore as a white hat, similar incidents are never new in the Internet arena.

Wei Dongsheng didn’t know the details of Cavalry, so he gave up the prospective persuasion and proposed a compromise plan in preparation: “Money is capital, capital is not money. The black money in the bank is as much as one trillion yuan, and you are not a capitalist. I understand. You want to wash your mind off, because I also don’t want to live in the dark all my life. Sooner or later, I will also wash away the black industrial chain imprints and walk ashore to the sun. So, you have already accepted the order and promised to face the future Carefully develop the legendary private server industry within two months. Let's not ask to be together until the end of the world, let's try to cooperate for two months first, how about?"

Wei Dongsheng's first entrepreneurial venture in his previous life was to develop mobile games, and then he transformed into angel investment. Wei Dongsheng’s investment philosophy has similarities and differences with Xiaomi’s head Lei Jun. He is particular about: “I will put forward my opinion. If you don’t want to listen, I’ll shut up. In the future, I will prove that you are right and I am wrong. I apologize to you; I am right if you prove you wrong in the future, and you need to pay for your mistakes."

Now that Cavalry had other ideas, Wei Dongsheng simply shut up and quickly tapped the keyboard to propose a new way of cooperation: "You look at the bad news, I am bullish about the bad news. In this case, we will sign the agreement. You are responsible for the specific operation, I Responsible for the necessary moments of technical support, the profit is distributed like this... Well, please move your commission to 1 million, after doubling it to 2 million, considering that you only have a 60% dividend ratio, let’s add 1 million to the bottom line. The agreement is 3 million. In our legendary private server industry chain, if the overall revenue is below 3 million, you take it all, and I don’t want a dime; if the overall revenue is above 3 million, I will Take 60%, you take 40%. How?"

Cavalry did not hesitate, and immediately agreed: "Okay."

Cavalry’s parents’ life-saving money is not too much, only about 3.5 million yuan; if it is small, it is definitely a lot. In 2002, where did ordinary working-class citizens’ families get 3.5 million yuan in life-saving money? Cavalry received the order and has raised 1 million yuan, and must perform the contract step by step to fuel the spread of the legendary private server. Not cooperating with Wei Dongsheng is the process, and cooperating with Wei Dongsheng is also the process. However, if you can deepen your friendship during the cooperation with Wei Dongsheng and ask for new technology to break through the firewall quietly, why not do it?

As for the 60% dividend above the 3 million yuan profit, Cavalry did not take it seriously.

It was a joke.

It made a profit of 3 million yuan in two months. Doesn't it mean that it can make a profit of 30 million yuan a year? There is such a good thing in the world, how can it be his turn to open up the market?

Cavalry is short on future earnings and is not concerned about the private server industry; Wei Dongsheng is optimistic about future earnings and cares about the planning of the legendary private server industry, asking in detail how Cavalry plans to operate. Cavalry felt that Wei Dongsheng owed Wei Dongsheng's gambling plan. In order to prevent Wei Dongsheng from being upset and scolded by him in the future, Cavalry deliberately lowered his posture to cooperate with Wei Dongsheng: "Undernet proposed an agency contracting plan, that is, the division of the provincial capitals and administrative districts of the provinces, and the members are ordered to contract one by one. , Give full play to their superiority and subjective initiative."

The regional layer is the terminology of Chinese network topology. As a practical example, the CHINANET backbone network is divided into a core layer and a regional layer. The core layer is composed of the core nodes of eight cities, including Yanjing, Shenhai, Guangyang, Shenyang, Nanjing, Wuhan, Chengdu, and Xi'an. These eight regional networks constitute the regional layer. Among them, Yanjing, Shenhai, and Guangyang are the three most important centers. For example, if Harbin sends a message to Changchun, it must pass through the Shenyang node to reach Changchun; if Harbin sends a message to Hefei, it must pass through the Shenyang node, the Yanjing node, and the Shenhai node in turn. To reach Hefei.

Cavalry has no intention of working hard in the legendary industry and decided to only provide private server technical support in the future. The specific operation and distribution of the private server is based on the network topology and divides the Huaguo network into several sections, which are respectively contracted to members of the Cavalry organization.

Wei Dongsheng certainly disagrees with this agency contract system.

However, as mentioned earlier, Wei Dongsheng’s investment philosophy is "I will put forward my opinion. If you don’t want to listen, I will shut up." Cavalry has his own ideas and does not agree with Wei Dongsheng’s future prospects, so he Head walking will bring counter-effects, so it is better to let him go. Of course, Wei Dongsheng will not deliberately play with the wisdom of "I said it is right", give up persuading Cavalry, and at the same time, still send a copy of the preparation plan B for the operation of the legendary private server that he privately prepared to Cavalry: "This is my contribution to the legendary private server industry. Ideas, if you have time, you can think about it as a brainstorming."

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